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Top Ten Posts for 2007



God Jul och Gott Nytt Ar!

So here I am, on the first day of the year, trying to watch football, cook steak, drink a 10-year old Merlot, and write this blog. Something tells me this blog post may go into tomorrow...

Little did I think the Christmas letter I started a week ago would need to go out in 8 parts, but as I reviewed all the ground we covered in my business, and all the topics we posted on, there was no way to do the year justice without spending some time on review. It was an interesting ride to go through all the documents and business activity, and to go through all the blog posts for the year. I hope you readers found it so as well.

Having processed all that material this far, it's just one more step to compile a Best of the Year series, so here are my favorite posts for the year, rolled into one post. I'll go ahead and try the Top Ten format, as that is so popular, and it has value because it makes me focus, something I struggle with...

1. Cities as Complex Ecosystems: Mother Nature Knows Best
If it's a glum worldview Frenay presents, it's not without hope. Frenay offers us hope in technological innovation, which changes the rules of the game and reshuffles the pieces on the game board, even enables a new paradigm. We're seeing convergence of different technological platforms, from IT to telecom to entertainment. The changes of digital technology and the Internet, combined with globalization and environmental impacts like global warming beg the question - is it time to consider a new paradigm to replace our "machine age" model?

Frenay thinks so and makes a credible argument. I would urge anyone in the city management business to take a look at this perspective. If anything, I believe that cities are complex ecosystems and they're best managed holistically, by thinking with a nature paradigm about how all the parts work together in harmony.

Change is more easily accomplished at the local level, which gives relevance to this train of thought. Thinking about the future of your city holistically, you are bound to consider a network project at some point, because any complex ecosystem needs a communication medium, and metropolitan broadband offers that medium.

2. What's Municipal Wireless Good For? The Whole Enchilada
The presence and growth of the Municipal Wireless industry is prima facie evidence of a market demand. That demand is for greater broadband options, increased innovation, lower prices, which has not been satisfied by the incumbent operators. So when a technology comes along to let municipalities take control of their telecom destiny, some step up, a few at first, but more and more as the costs and risks go down, and so a new industry is born in the vacuum left by an old one.

I think that telecom is an inherently complex operation, and that cities, especially smaller ones, benefit when they assume a partnership role with private players. Cities are best served leaving the risky and complex jobs to the private sector where possible, focusing on what they do well: providing for the general welfare of the citizenry, principally with better public safety, better infrastructure, better prospects for the future (eco dev), and increasingly, better protection of the natural environment.

Not to say that cities can't and shouldn't still be great catalysts for change, and that is the essence of what Municipal Wireless is good for. It helps cities be better at what they are good for - taking care of their citizens. In summary, Muni Wireless provides

1. a stimulus for national debate on broadband...
2. a vision in the absence of national leadership...
3. a Straw Man to Consider, at a time when a call to action is needed...
4. a new wireless applications industry...
5. a spur to community innovation and creativity... and
6. a new vista of economic development alternatives.

3. What's in a Name? A Lot, if it Signifies an Attitude and an Approach
The advent of Metropolitan Broadband networks changes the environmental dynamic of the city IT Director or CIO, making their job both bigger and ultimately, easier. Now their task of using high technology to help city departments accomplish their goals can use the same infrastructure that the rest of the city will use for other tasks. Do we talk about city streets as a private network that is there to get city workers around to accomplish their city tasks? Is the electric grid a private network? Indeed, city streets and electric grids are apt metaphors for the city Local Area Network (LAN) that is used as a shared common infrastructure.

So, imagine this paradigm shift driven by a simple name change. What if we look at a Metropolitan Broadband Network not as an IT Project led by the IT team, with backing from city government leaders, to accomplish the laudable city goals of more efficient city government? What if instead we start of thinking of the task as a Community and Economic Development Project, led by a cross-section of government, business, and community leaders, to provide not only efficient city government, but also widespread access to broadband for all citizens, as well as long-term, sustainable economic development? Now the perspective shifts, and the IT Director / CIO becomes a leader and technology adviser to a much broader project, and one member of a much larger team.

MetroNetIQ is using just such a shift in focus to give a new perspective to metropolitan broadband projects. There are trade-offs that come with this shift, but they are worth it. The project will take longer and will have more up-front expenses. But it is likely to turn out better in the end and pay long-term dividends.

4. Small, Simple, Cheap, and Fast - OHMMMMMMMM
We're now living in a world that is undergoing near constant change, on a rapid basis. When you have such dramatic change so consistently, doesn't it make sense to approach things differently than you have in the past? Doesn't it make sense to experiment with new models and try on new ways of doing things? Doesn't it make sense to take some risks? That's yet one more benefit of using new business models enabled by these new technologies - they allow rapid feedback cycles, which enable rapid improvement cycles. It's just like Open Source Software. Lots of experiments, lots of innovation, lots of improvements.

That is what I believe is the bottom line on the need for different approaches to broadband provisioning:

A divergence from the status quo is called for, and an opportunity presents itself to model the success of Open Source software development. This is what we will see more and more of in the coming year - more experimentation, more innovation, more change. As consumers, we should open ourselves up to new ways of doing things, exploring what we value and what we can do without. There are multiple lessons to be learned if we will set off on this path.

5. A Declaration of Independence for Broadband Connectivity

A new opportunity for connectivity independence has emerged.
Connectivity is vital to individuals and communities.
Big business and government have been slow to adapt.
The system that would give us ubiquitous broadband is broken.
The system no longer acts in the best interest of the citizen: we need a Plan B.
A national dialogue on connectivity independence is needed.
Political will is necessary to make a paradigm shift.
Collective action is key to changing the paradigm.
Cities, Chambers, and Neighborhoods have roles to play to create a new network.
In a highly dynamic environment, a portfolio of small players is less risky than a handful of large players.
Community cooperatives are a compelling alternative to large corporations.
Natural systems use collaboration and competition to deal with uncertainty, so can we with connectivity.
Infrastructure is only a path to applications, which provide solutions and value.

6. On the Cutting Edge - Citywide Broadband on Steroids
My AHA is that it's Not EITHER FTTH OR Wireless Broadband. That's a false choice. It's BOTH FTTH AND Wireless Broadband.

FTTH can lead, if the community is ready to make the leap to a 21st Century Future-Proof Broadband Network, if community and economic development are front and center, and if more competitive broadband market rates are needed. Wireless Broadband will be important as well for mobility, and that can come initially with Hot Spots, Hot Zones, or more ubiquitous coverage.

Wireless Broadband can lead, if it's mobility that's most crucial, but a fiber loop will be needed for back haul initially, and the network will need to grow into a full FTTH network over time to provide necessary capacity to meet future capacity requirements.

7. Phoenix MetroNets, Rising from the Ashes
Municipal Wireless 1.0 - the Pioneer Stage. In the beginning ...Intel's promotion of the Wi Fi standard and the sales efforts of early Wi Fi Mesh equipment makers and WISPs combined with inquisitive, motivated city officials to produce some very early stage projects in 2004 and 2005. Collectively, they had in common that they were making things up as they went. The gear they had was not as developed and was more expensive than it is now. Their experience with deploying and network design was next to nil. And not surprisingly, they made a lot of mistakes along the way. But that's how it is when you're learning to do something you've never done before.

Municipal Wireless 2.0 - the Trial Stage. The bottom line from this industry stage is that these networks counted on a new private sector industry developing and taking on the risks of these projects. Big city leaders were willing to launch initiatives as long as they bore little of the risk. When that "scenario" finally began to unravel, with the withdrawal of free deals by MetroFi and EarthLink, and the sputtering of Kite, the air went out of the balloon that was Municipal Wireless, or so it seemed. The announcement of the Death of Municipal Wireless was premature, however.

Municipal Wireless 3.0 - the Emergent Customization Stage. I think we're emerging into a new stage of this industry, where we'll see the adoption of a variety of new business models, call it "MuniWireless 3.0," which I've labeled the Emergent Customization Stage. Imagine a shotgun blast, where pellets emerge from the gun barrel and explode into a broader, widening pattern. That's where we are with business models - we've matured to the point that interested parties have a menu of options to consider, and they can browse (pardon the pun!) to get the right option for their particular needs - a Custom business model, if you will. As cities learn more, they are able to take a more autonomous role, and we will see several different paths emerge, because cities are widely divergent in their local situations and preferences. Long Live Freedom of Choice!

8. Tangled Webs, Wicked Ways
In similar fashion, I've been posting articles on the unfolding scandal of FISA and Telecom Immunity, not only because it's fascinating to watch this ornate story unfold, just like the best of the detective stories, but also because it may well shine the light on a carefully constructed myth: call it "Broadband by Bell." For it is a tangled web that the incumbent broadband providers have woven, not only in the networks they've built - literal tangled webs - but also in the line they've fed society that they are the only ones able to manage broadband. Yet our large telecom (and cable) companies are here to stay and the central question for our society when it comes to broadband telecommunication is

"How shall we move our country onto a more sound footing when it comes to broadband infrastructure? For it will either be by working through these large companies, or by working around them."

For better or worse, our very complex communication web in this country is based on a history of government outsourcing development risks to the private sector, in most cases, to a regulated monopoly (AT&T). From the start, it's been a complicated yet incredibly successful venture, one that has evolved into a myth, starting with Alexander Graham Bell's "Watson Come Here" line and moving forward to Bell Labs series of technical discoveries in the 20th century.

9. A Wicked Wind Blows Through the Senate, The Shankill Butchers Ride Tonight

We are a nation that remains, six years after that horrific attack on September 11, 2001, a nation in fear. We live in fear of another attack. We're reminded, in gory detail, by our president and opportunistic politicians that we could be subject to another attack at any moment, and encouraged to trade away our civil liberties in exchange for an opportunity to feel safer. (Over 1 Million Hits in Google search for "Bush+fear mongering" - or If you prefer the evidence in video form, see this search of You Tube for "Bush+fear mongering" - 58 hits, though some may be repetitive).

The measures this administration and its supporters would take cannot make us any safer, but they do offer to make us feel safer, in exchange for long-lasting political changes that serve their agenda. In response, we should be demanding hard evidence, we should demand to know: "How do massive violations of our laws to survey all data communications make us any safer?" What's the track record to date? It's been six years, after all.

We're fed the impression that we're being protected, but in fact, that's not possible by such means. In fact, our civil liberties are being traded away for a pittance in an historic power grab. We're buying a temporary feeling of security, in exchange for handing over our most precious asset: the system of laws, checks, and balances that are the very foundation of our government and our stable civil society.

This issue is coming to a head in the Senate, and I'm concerned.

In the Senate, two competing versions of the FISA Act have passed out of Senate committees. One, passed last month by the Intelligence Committee, saw Democratic Senators Schumer and Feinstein vote with the Republicans in favor of a version that contains immunity for telecom firms that cooperated with requests from the executive branch to break laws and provide surveillance of domestic data traffic without warrants.

10. Shamalama Ding Dong - Life is a Highway
The potential of the Internet is more like a highway system than a railroad system. And only when all the connecting roads and streets are finally built out - the Last Mile network - and everyone is out there on the road, will we begin to see the full potential of the Internet. It's still a long way off, but those days are coming.

We believe that the somewhat-spontaneous experiments of the open world of the Alternate Broadband universe are pushing out the envelope as fast or faster than the planned experiments and careful steps of the closed Conventional Broadband world of cable and DSL. And we also believe that there is room for both.

Those large companies need the Alternate Broadband world to go out and take the risks, to experiment and come up with new broadband models. The smart ones among the Conventional Broadband players will watch advances in the Alternate Broadband space and adapt, while the overconfident ones will deny the changes until it is too late.

Change is happening fast, the world is not the same as it was four years ago when I started in this space. What will the railroad operators do when the tracks no longer go where people want to go? What will they do when alternatives, like roads and cars, come along to compete with their railroad monopolies? Some will adapt, but others will go away.

It's been a fun year...next, a look forward at 2008. 2008 ... that's going to take some getting used to....

Posted on January 01, 2008 at 11:11 AM


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