« Open Access FTTH: An Alternative, Attractive Reality | Weblog | EXAmine This: A Growing Gap in Capacity Demand and Bandwidth Supply? »

What will we do with all this Bandwidth?

Sometimes its nice to daydream about having one of those 100 Mbs connections like they have in Japan. Sighh. Someday. I enjoyed the Broadband Properties Summit 2007 in Dallas last week for many reasons, but one key reason was the different perspective - it was refreshing to see a new set of faces and to meet a dynamic group of activists who are passionate about broadband, but in this case, mostly about WIRED broadband, fiber to the home (FTTH), to be specific.

The keynotes started off the three day event - I already wrote about Matt Wenger, PacketFront, and Open Access FTTH in Vasteras, Sweden, in my previous post.

Next up on the first day at the Summit were two speakers who emphasized the use of broadband networks. Kurt Scheff, VP and Principal Analyst at Parks Associates, provided a great overview of the industry with loads of statistics.

Then Herb Hauser, President at MidTown Technologies, talked to us about Genius Buildings and Genius Communities.

THE DIGITAL HOME

Scheff is an old hand at Parks Associates, where he covers a variety of consumer applications and tracks changes and trends in the industry. In providing this overview of The Digital Home, Scheff described the convergence at hand, where consumer applications and devices will more and more take advantage of increasing broadband availability, but also drive on the broadband networks in a virtuous circle.

Here's a quick overview of some of the statistical data he threw our way (it came fast and heavy).

Digital Lifestyles Categories

1. Data / Voice

Computer Networking
* 1998: 2.5 M households
* 2007: 30 M households

Broadband Trends
* 2006: 280 M BB households (worldwide)
* 2007: 50 M BB households (US)
* 2010: 70 M BB households (US)

Voice Services
* 2010: 30 M VOIP households
* VOIP LAN-to-Mobile hand offs are a rising trend also

2. MultiMedia / Entertainment
* Includes TV, Web Content Services, and User Generated Content / Social Media
* DRM Issues will continue to demand attention
* Incumbents have a distinct advantage - they can guarantee Quality of Service (QOS) better than their rivals

3. Home / Lifestyle Management
* Home networks will include data networks, multimedia networks, and entertainment networks, and there will be opportunities to pull them together and to keep them running.
* Notably, home systems will include digital health systems, but this will be a longer-term trend because of uncertainties in the national health care picture

4. Value Added Services
* Such services will include Break/Fix, Installations, Protection, Communities, and Converged Communications
* These services will represent good (and growing) revenue opportunities for both mainstream companies and niche providers.
* Whole House Control services will be a while yet, although it is developing as a trend (less than 1% of households currently

Scheff finished by highlighting the following trends to watch, which are all closely tied to the presence of (and need for) ever increasing amounts of broadband access.

1. Convergence in Communications
2. Fixed and Mobile Convergence
3. Enhancements to Access and Content Delivery Networks
4. Alternate Payment Methods
5. Storage Advances
6. Advertising Innovation and Change
7. Trusted "Digital Home Advisors"

GENIUS BUILDINGS AND COMMUNITIES

Hauser stepped out to call information the fourth utility. Just as we wouldn't think of a house today without water, wastewater, electricity, and heating/AC, so we would not contemplate a home without access to information, which today must include voice, video, and high speed data.

As FTTH becomes more and more common, look for the following qualities of the Genius Building to become more common:

1. e-appliances, or in Hauser's vernacular, eppliances, which provide the buildings and communities their genius status.
2. B-Tech Resource Metering - tracking behavior changes when appliances are used
3. Forward Living Design - design that not only anticipates changes, but keeps up with aging and their changing needs
4. Converged Infrastructure and Functions
5. Universal Communications Protocol - TCP/IP fits the bill

Sounding a theme that would be echoed throughout the conference, Hauser emphasized that broadband is not just about FTTH, but also includes Wi Fi Mesh - he said that innovative Genius projects show Positive Resonation when they begin with installation of Wi Fi Mesh at the construction site, gaining the benefits of broadband from the very beginning.

In summary, Broadband brings benefits to property developers and property owners as follows:
1. Reduces Net Operating Expenses (from the start)
2. Collapses time for Pro Forma benefits to be achieved
3. Enables new devices that save $$ on other utilities (e.g., smart meters, etc)
4. Increases the sale or rental price of the property

Posted on September 16, 2007 at 02:41 PM


Comments



Post a comment




Remember Me?

(you may use HTML tags for style)